
<table style="text-align:center"><caption><strong>Table X22. Additional results: autocratic countries only.</strong></caption>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td colspan="2">Civil violence (group)</td><td>Communal violence</td><td>Communal violence</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>Maj. (model A72)</td><td>Min. (model A73)</td><td>Maj./min. dyad (model A74)</td><td>Maj./min. dyad (model A75)</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td style="text-align:left">Territorial autonomy</td><td>-1.376<sup>†</sup></td><td>-1.833<sup>***</sup></td><td>1.064</td><td>0.154</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.736)</td><td>(0.539)</td><td>(0.740)</td><td>(0.679)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Territorial autonomy x included/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>2.181<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.652)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Included</td><td>-1.041<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.327</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.294)</td><td>(0.360)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Included/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.483</td><td>-1.090<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.438)</td><td>(0.443)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Excluded/excluded</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.002</td><td>0.175</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.513)</td><td>(0.498)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state)</td><td>0.407</td><td>1.807</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(1.120)</td><td>(1.336)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state, mean)</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.319</td><td>1.500</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(2.000)</td><td>(2.139)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (state, diff.)</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.136</td><td>-0.237</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(1.019)</td><td>(1.069)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (unit)</td><td>0.081</td><td>3.204<sup>**</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.556)</td><td>(1.056)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (unit, mean)</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.971<sup>†</sup></td><td>1.968</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(1.114)</td><td>(1.201)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Relative size (unit, diff.)</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.819<sup>*</sup></td><td>-0.760<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.337)</td><td>(0.346)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Asymmetry</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.276</td><td>0.285</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.373)</td><td>(0.361)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Population (unit, logged)</td><td>0.456<sup>***</sup></td><td>0.269<sup>**</sup></td><td>0.260<sup>†</sup></td><td>0.268<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.087)</td><td>(0.103)</td><td>(0.137)</td><td>(0.137)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Area (unit, logged)</td><td>0.082</td><td>0.088</td><td>0.441<sup>**</sup></td><td>0.420<sup>**</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.102)</td><td>(0.116)</td><td>(0.165)</td><td>(0.160)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Avg. ruggedness (unit)</td><td>0.001</td><td>0.0004</td><td>0.001</td><td>0.001</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.001)</td><td>(0.001)</td><td>(0.001)</td><td>(0.001)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Oil in unit</td><td>0.202</td><td>0.478</td><td>1.277<sup>*</sup></td><td>1.280<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.557)</td><td>(0.295)</td><td>(0.565)</td><td>(0.564)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Distance capital (unit, logged)</td><td>-0.237</td><td>0.148</td><td>-0.104</td><td>-0.095</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.160)</td><td>(0.179)</td><td>(0.202)</td><td>(0.194)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Distance border (unit, logged)</td><td>-0.217<sup>*</sup></td><td>-0.040</td><td>-0.125</td><td>-0.112</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.098)</td><td>(0.116)</td><td>(0.092)</td><td>(0.090)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">GDP pc. (logged)</td><td>-0.580<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.845<sup>***</sup></td><td>-0.370</td><td>-0.326</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.195)</td><td>(0.217)</td><td>(0.303)</td><td>(0.292)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Population (state, logged)</td><td>0.001</td><td>-0.343<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.010</td><td>-0.009</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.163)</td><td>(0.122)</td><td>(0.276)</td><td>(0.277)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Democracy</td><td>-1.072</td><td>-1.279<sup>†</sup></td><td>1.211</td><td>1.315</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.788)</td><td>(0.763)</td><td>(0.828)</td><td>(0.832)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Ethnic fractionalization</td><td>0.194</td><td>-0.011</td><td>1.115</td><td>1.089</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(1.068)</td><td>(1.207)</td><td>(1.512)</td><td>(1.537)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Election year</td><td>-0.351</td><td>0.308</td><td>0.222</td><td>0.253</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.331)</td><td>(0.343)</td><td>(0.241)</td><td>(0.238)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years</td><td>-0.501<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.452<sup>**</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.158)</td><td>(0.147)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years 2</td><td>0.028<sup>†</sup></td><td>0.020</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.016)</td><td>(0.015)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence peace years 3</td><td>-0.001</td><td>-0.0002</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.0004)</td><td>(0.0004)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Civil violence spatial lag</td><td>0.569<sup>*</sup></td><td>1.068<sup>†</sup></td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(0.268)</td><td>(0.597)</td><td></td><td></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.216<sup>**</sup></td><td>-0.209<sup>**</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.077)</td><td>(0.076)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years 2</td><td></td><td></td><td>0.011</td><td>0.011</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.011)</td><td>(0.011)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence peace years 3</td><td></td><td></td><td>-0.0002</td><td>-0.0002</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.0003)</td><td>(0.0003)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Communal violence spatial lag</td><td></td><td></td><td>1.158<sup>**</sup></td><td>1.095<sup>*</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td></td><td></td><td>(0.441)</td><td>(0.439)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Constant</td><td>5.367<sup>*</sup></td><td>3.524</td><td>-21.910<sup>***</sup></td><td>-22.258<sup>***</sup></td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left"></td><td>(2.420)</td><td>(2.148)</td><td>(3.791)</td><td>(3.795)</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">N</td><td>16,927</td><td>72,871</td><td>105,856</td><td>105,856</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">Log Likelihood</td><td>-802.859</td><td>-1,232.286</td><td>-1,175.091</td><td>-1,165.014</td></tr>
<tr><td style="text-align:left">AIC</td><td>1,715.718</td><td>2,574.572</td><td>2,468.183</td><td>2,450.028</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="border-bottom: 1px solid black"></td></tr><tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">† p<0.1; * p<0.05; ** p<0.01; *** p<0.001; country-clustered SE’s in parentheses; maj. = second-order majority; min. = second-order minority.</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">The dependent variable is a binary variable equal to one if there is at least one instance of civil/communal violence involving a group/dyad in a given unit.</td></tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" style="text-align:left">Region- and year-fixed effects included but not reported.</td></tr>
</table>
